2015 Season results for Las Cruces (GV,3-6A)

25   12   1
Rank in
State, Class, District
1155     51
Strength     Momentum
1097   55.8(23)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  14W   5L   1T 
District  8W   0L   0T 
Expected  14:   4+   2- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/18/15 Roswell 0.0011071W 6- 2 Expected (+3)1298 65%
08/21/15 at Rio Rancho 0.0021461L 1- 3 Expected (+1)1224 13%
08/22/15 at Cleveland 0.0021459L 0- 2 Expected (+1)1223 13%
08/28/15 Onate ?? 0.006985L 0- 1 Worse (-3)1004 75%
08/28/15 Alamogordo 0.0061003W 3- 1 Expected (0)1163 73%
08/29/15 Mayfield ! 0.0061123W 5- 1 Expected (+3)1325 58%
09/04/15 Carlsbad ? 0.0191178L 2- 3 Worse (-1)1101 52%
09/12/15 Hobbs !! 0.0551197W 4- 1 Better (+3)1311 49%
09/18/15 Volcano Vista 0.1291454T 1- 1 Better (+3)1289 19%
09/19/15 at La Cueva 0.0761338L 0- 6 Expected (-4) 958 24%
09/22/15 Clovis 0.1921246W 3- 1 Better (+3)1285 43%
09/24/15 Mayfield 0.2141123W 4- 1 Expected (+2)1274 58%
09/26/15 at Onate 0.250985W 2- 0 Expected (+1)1186 67%
10/01/15 at Deming 0.373915W 2- 0 Expected (0)1151 76%
10/03/15 Lovington 0.069629W 10- 0 Expected (+4)1396 98%
10/06/15 at Gadsden 0.448872W 3- 0 Expected (0)1180 80%
10/10/15 at Mayfield 0.6301123W 2- 0 Better (+2)1255 50%
10/15/15 Onate 0.775985W 4- 1 Expected (+1)1204 75%
10/22/15 Gadsden 0.874872W 3- 0 Expected (0)1148 86%
10/24/15 Deming 0.997915W 1- 0 Expected (-2)1069 82%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Las Cruces actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1097, while
Las Cruces's "weighted playing strength" is 1176
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)

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