25 12 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1155 51 Strength Momentum |
1097 55.8(23) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/18/15 | Roswell | 0.001 | 1071 | W 6- 2 | Expected (+3) | 1298 | 65% | |
08/21/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.002 | 1461 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+1) | 1224 | 13% | |
08/22/15 | at Cleveland | 0.002 | 1459 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1223 | 13% | |
08/28/15 | Onate ?? | 0.006 | 985 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-3) | 1004 | 75% | |
08/28/15 | Alamogordo | 0.006 | 1003 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 1163 | 73% | |
08/29/15 | Mayfield ! | 0.006 | 1123 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1325 | 58% | |
09/04/15 | Carlsbad ? | 0.019 | 1178 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-1) | 1101 | 52% | |
09/12/15 | Hobbs !! | 0.055 | 1197 | W 4- 1 | Better (+3) | 1311 | 49% | |
09/18/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.129 | 1454 | T 1- 1 | Better (+3) | 1289 | 19% | |
09/19/15 | at La Cueva | 0.076 | 1338 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-4) | 958 | 24% | |
09/22/15 | Clovis | 0.192 | 1246 | W 3- 1 | Better (+3) | 1285 | 43% | |
09/24/15 | Mayfield | 0.214 | 1123 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1274 | 58% | |
09/26/15 | at Onate | 0.250 | 985 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1186 | 67% | |
10/01/15 | at Deming | 0.373 | 915 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1151 | 76% | |
10/03/15 | Lovington | 0.069 | 629 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1396 | 98% | |
10/06/15 | at Gadsden | 0.448 | 872 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1180 | 80% | |
10/10/15 | at Mayfield | 0.630 | 1123 | W 2- 0 | Better (+2) | 1255 | 50% | |
10/15/15 | Onate | 0.775 | 985 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1204 | 75% | |
10/22/15 | Gadsden | 0.874 | 872 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1148 | 86% | |
10/24/15 | Deming | 0.997 | 915 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1069 | 82% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Las Cruces actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1097, while
Las Cruces's "weighted playing strength" is 1176
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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